Election 2014

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GOP Has More Than 70% Chance of Taking Senate


 GOP's Chances 
 of Taking Senate: 
 More Than 70% 
ELECTION MODELS
Nov 4, 2014 8:00 AM CST

GOP's Chances of Taking Senate: More Than 70%

McConnell says Obama rollback starts today

(Newser) - It's Election Day, and Democrats' chances of retaining control of the Senate look pretty slim, according to election models at the Washington Post , the New York Times , and FiveThirtyEight, which put the chances of a GOP victory at 96%, 73%, and 76%, respectively. The Post notes that all three...

Car Crash Kills House Candidate

Earl Everett was Democratic nominee in Oklahoma's 2nd District

(Newser) - An 81-year-old Democrat in the race for a US House seat in eastern Oklahoma has died from injuries he sustained in a car accident, police say. Earl Emmitt Everett, a retired schoolteacher and Korean War veteran, died at a Tulsa hospital yesterday. He had been in a two-car accident Friday...

5 Things to Know Before Election Day

We could be in for an early night ... or the total opposite

(Newser) - We're a day away from Election Day. Here are five things to know about what's expected, what to watch, and what's being said.
  1. All eyes are on the Senate, where Republicans need six seats to gain control. USA Today deems 10 races "still close enough to
...

Senate Control Is Up to Iowa: Harry Reid

If Bruce Braley doesn't win, Mitch McConnell will be majority leader, says Democrat

(Newser) - If Democrats want to retain control of the Senate, they'll have to win in Iowa, says Harry Reid. Speaking today to progressive activists, Reid said that if Rep. Bruce Braley beats Joni Ernst, Democrats will do "just fine." But if Ernst—who has recently led in polls,...

Obama Near Bleak Milestone for Midterms

Poised for worst back-to-back losses since Truman

(Newser) - Most of the national attention in Tuesday's election is focused on GOP gains in the Senate, but Roll Call points out that Republicans also are poised to hand President Obama a milestone he'd rather avoid in the House. Consider that Democrats lost 63 seats in the 2010 midterms...

Senate Control Matters, but Not Why You Think
Senate Control Matters,
but Not Why You Think
OPINION
Oct 31, 2014 12:25 PM CDT

Senate Control Matters, but Not Why You Think

Jonathan Chait: It's not about legislation, it's about presidential nominations

(Newser) - Republicans look poised to take control of the Senate, and there's all kinds of analysis out there about what this means for President Obama and his legislative agenda. You can safely ignore it all, writes Jonathan Chait at New York . The fact is, which party controls the Senate doesn'...

In Shift, Millennial Voters Want GOP to Run Congress

Harvard poll finds small lead for Republicans

(Newser) - Republicans might find support in an unusual place in next week's election: among millennials. A new poll by Harvard's Institute of Politics shows that 18- to 29-year-olds who will likely vote on Tuesday prefer a GOP-run Congress. The margin is small, with 51% favoring the GOP and 47%...

5 Neck-and-Neck House Races
 5 Neck-and-Neck 
 House Races 
Oct 29, 2014 10:13 AM CDT

5 Neck-and-Neck House Races

Threats to reporters, alleged earwax-eating take center stage

(Newser) - Given the stakes, you may be tempted to focus more on Senate races next Tuesday than House ones—but there's plenty of political drama to hold your attention in the lower chamber. Among the most interesting races:
  • In New York's 11th district, a man facing a federal indictment
...

Why the Midterms Are Putting Voters to Sleep
Why the Midterms Are
Putting Voters to Sleep
OPINION
Oct 28, 2014 1:08 PM CDT

Why the Midterms Are Putting Voters to Sleep

There's no big national issue to galvanize people, writes Peter Beinart

(Newser) - The consensus heading into crunch time of the midterm elections is that they're ... boring. (See here and here , or check out a recent Pew poll showing the anemic level of interest among Americans—only about 15% are closely following things.) Midterms always lack the punch of a presidential...

RNC Co-Chair: Wisconsin Voters Not That Sharp

Sharon Day tries to explain dead heat in governor's race

(Newser) - With polls showing the Wisconsin governor's race in a dead heat, Republican National Committee co-chair Sharon Day picked a pretty bad time to imply that some of the state's voters are stupid. While speaking of the need to support GOP incumbent Scott Walker, Day said some voters might...

This Could Be Priciest Senate Race Ever

Kay Hagan, Thom Tillis face off in $103M campaign

(Newser) - When you're seeing three Senate campaign ads every five minutes, you might guess there's a fair bit of money going into the race—and you'd be right. The race between North Carolina Democratic Sen. Kay Hagan and Republican challenger Thom Tillis could be the priciest Senate campaign...

RI Bishop: Vote Mother Teresa for Governor

Anti-abortion vote won't be wasted, Tobin says

(Newser) - As a deceased Albanian citizen who was never a regular resident of Rhode Island, Mother Teresa may not be the most obvious candidate for governor—but the state's top Catholic says she's a better choice than anybody on the ballot. Democratic nominee Gina Raimondo and Republican challenger Allan...

Libertarian Senate Hopeful in Iowa Killed in Plane Crash

Doug Butzier crashes his small plane near airport

(Newser) - The Libertarian candidate in Iowa's closely watched Senate race next month is dead after he crashed his single-engine plane near an airport in Dubuque last night, reports the Des Moines Register . Doug Butzier, a 59-year-old emergency room physician, was killed as he came in for a second attempt to...

GOP Likely to Win Small Majority in Senate
GOP Likely to Win Small Majority in Senate
OPINION
Oct 2, 2014 1:44 PM CDT

GOP Likely to Win Small Majority in Senate

Though lots can happen in final month, writes Larry Sabato

(Newser) - With a month to go before the midterms, Republicans stand a decent and ever-improving chance of taking control of the Senate, according to respected political prognosticator Larry Sabato. In his Crystal Ball blog, Sabato writes that a one- to three-seat GOP majority is now the mostly likely outcome, a sharp...

US Senator Helps Voter— With Kegstand

Mary Landrieu is there for you when you need her

(Newser) - Mary Landrieu is a three-term United States senator, a member of one of Louisiana's political dynasties, and one of the more vulnerable Democrats facing re-election in November. She's also got your back if you're doing a kegstand. That's what one tailgater found out when Landrieu made...

Maher Names Target in Quest to 'Flip a District'

He is Minnesota's John Kline, and Maher's gambit appears unlikely to work

(Newser) - Bill Maher has unveiled the target of his "Flip a District" campaign , in which he plans to unseat the House member he deems America's worst, and he is Rep. John Kline, a Minnesota Republican, reports Roll Call . “I know what you’re thinking: You never heard of...

Iraq Vet Beats Incumbent in Democratic House Primary

Seth Moulton unseats John Tierney in Massachusetts

(Newser) - For the fourth time this primary season, a House incumbent has been defeated—and there were no Tea Partiers in sight this time. John Tierney, a nine-term Democrat in Massachusetts, was defeated by 35-year-old Iraq veteran Seth Moulton, reports the Wall Street Journal . The former Marine captain had the support...

Ex-AG Beats Palin Pick in Alaska GOP Primary

Dan Sullivan will take on Mark Begich this fall

(Newser) - A Tea Party attempt to overcome a mainstream Republican came up short in Alaska last night as former state Attorney General Dan Sullivan won the GOP primary to become his party's candidate to take on Sen. Mark Begich this fall. Sullivan entered the primary the presumed front-runner, with the...

Lamar Alexander Defeats Tea Party Challenger

Also: Montana's Walsh steps down amid plagiarism scandal

(Newser) - Another boost for the GOP's Senate hopes: Lamar Alexander has defeated a Tea Party challenger in Tennessee and is now strongly favored to win re-election this fall, reports Politico . State Rep. Joe Carr had sought to portray Alexander as an out-of-touch Washington insider, but that approach has failed to...

Tea Party's Last Real Senate Hope Loses

Pat Roberts prevails in Kansas

(Newser) - Another big win for the GOP establishment: Kansas Sen. Pat Roberts has defeated Tea Party challenger Milton Wolf, ending what Politico calls "conservatives' last, best hope to topple an incumbent GOP senator this year." Roberts, who has been in Congress since 1981 and a senator since 1997, had...

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