economy

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Jobs Report Much Stronger Than Expected

Employers added 528K positions, far above estimates

(Newser) - The new jobs report is out, and it shows that the labor market is still booming:
  • Jobs: Employers added 528,000 jobs in July, far above expectations of 258,000, reports CNBC . The leisure and hospitality sector added the most (96,000), followed by health care (70,000).
  • Rate: The
...

Are We in a Recession? 8 People Will Make the Call

But the obscure Business Cycle Dating Committee likely won't weigh in for months

(Newser) - The GDP shrank for the second quarter in a row, which is one traditional definition of a recession, notes CNBC . It is not, however, the official one. As the Wall Street Journal reports, any such designation would formally come from the National Bureau of Economic Research—and more specifically from...

Investors See Rate Cuts on the Horizon

WSJ: Fed expected to keep raising through end of this year, then cutting again in 2023

(Newser) - The Federal Reserve meets this week, and the suspense is not whether it will raise interest rates, but by how much. While speculation swirled earlier in the month that the Fed might raise its benchmark rate by an unprecedented 1 full percentage point, the best bet now is that the...

A New Economic Term Enters the Lingo


A New
Economic
Term Enters
the Lingo
the rundown

A New Economic Term Enters the Lingo

Treasury chief Janet Yellen pushes 'friend-shoring' in South Korea speech

(Newser) - In a speech in South Korea on Tuesday, Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen pushed the idea of "friend-shoring" as economic policy. Broadly speaking, the new-ish term refers to the idea of trading more closely with allies instead of "geopolitical rivals," as the Wall Street Journal puts it. For...

A Broad Economic Trend Is Unfolding
For US Savings Accounts,
Another Shift Is Unfolding
IN CASE YOU MISSED IT

For US Savings Accounts, Another Shift Is Unfolding

Americans who piled up cash during pandemic are now spending it to cope with inflation

(Newser) - The dry details from a spate of economic reports and financial surveys add up to changing narrative in regard to American's savings accounts: People piled up unusually large stores of cash during the pandemic, but they're now spending it to cope with inflation. Details:
  • The personal saving rate
...

Strong June Jobs Report Has Investors Worried

Another 372K jobs were added

(Newser) - Hiring continues to defy expectations and remain strong, as the latest monthly report from the Labor Department demonstrates.
  • Big number: Employers added 372,000 jobs in June, well above analysts' predictions of 250,000, reports CNBC .
  • Steady rate: The unemployment rate remained at a low 3.6% for the fourth
...

What to Do, and Not to Do, as a Recession Looms
What to Do, and Not to Do,
as a Recession Looms
the rundown

What to Do, and Not to Do, as a Recession Looms

Dow drops below 30K as bear market deepens

(Newser) - The stock market actually rose Wednesday in the immediate aftermath of the Fed's decision to raise rates by a whopping 0.75% . Thursday, not so much. Major indexes fell more than 2% in early trading and sent the Dow below 30,000, its lowest level in more than a...

For Biden, 2 Moves on the Inflation Front

He considers rollback of tariffs on China, pressures oil companies

(Newser) - Amid sky-high inflation and a reeling stock market, the Biden administration is looking for remedies, and two are making headlines. However, neither is seen as being able to make a substantive dent in the problems:
  • Tariffs: The White House may roll back some or all of the tariffs imposed on
...

Economist Who Hates Crypto Recasts a 'Moon' Prediction

With market in free fall, Peter Schiff suggests a crash landing is coming

(Newser) - The stock market f ell into a bear market on Monday, but as badly as stocks are getting hammered, the cryptocurrency sector is getting hammered even harder. The fallout continued Tuesday, as Coinbase—the largest cryptocurrency exchange in the US—announced it was cutting 18% of its workforce, reports the...

2 Gloomy Forecasts Sour the Market's Mood

Yellen worries about inflation, the World Bank about stagflation

(Newser) - The US stock market did not wake up in a great mood on Wednesday, with the Dow and the benchmark S&P 500 both down about half a percentage point in early trading. That might have something to do with two dour forecasts issued Tuesday about the US and the...

Job Numbers Come In Stronger Than Expected

Employers add a solid 390K in May, though that snaps long streak of at least 400K

(Newser) - The jobs market remains strong, but it appears to be cooling off a smidge amid signs the labor shortage is easing. That seems to be the gist of coverage related to the new unemployment report released Friday.
  • New hires: Employers added 390,000 jobs in May, above estimates of 328,
...

Biden: Trump 'Demeaned the Fed,' and I Will Not

President stakes out a hands-off policy toward Federal Reserve on inflation in op-ed

(Newser) - President Biden meets with Fed chief Jerome Powell at the White House Tuesday afternoon, but he has already signaled his main message in advance: "I won't meddle with the Fed," is how a headline above a Biden op-ed in the Wall Street Journal puts it. In his...

Zero Cars Were Sold in Shanghai Last Month

Lockdown hit city's economy hard

(Newser) - Shanghai is finally beginning to emerge from a long, harsh lockdown that was initially supposed to last only a few days—but the economic damage will take time to recover from. In what Bloomberg sees as evidence of how strict the lockdown was, not a single car was sold in...

Jamie Dimon Warns of Unprecedented Trifecta

Pandemic recovery, Ukraine war, and high inflation could 'dramatically increase' risks to economy

(Newser) - JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon is out with his annual letter to shareholders, which Axios notes is closely watched in financial circles. The Wall Street Journal finds that it's less rosy than last year, when he saw a potential "Goldilocks" moment of sustained growth on the horizon. This year,...

A Classic Warning Sign of Recession Is Flashing

Economists are keeping an eye on yields for 2- and 10-year Treasurys

(Newser) - A wonky-sounding phenomenon in the bond market known as a "yield curve inversion" took place this week, and it's caught the attention of economists. The reason? It just happens to be a classic warning sign that a recession might be in the cards. Details:
  • The flip: The 2-year
...

Latest Report Confirms Inflation Is Still Really Bad

Consumer prices jumped 7.5% last month compared with 12 months earlier

(Newser) - Inflation soared over the past year at its highest rate in four decades, hammering America’s consumers, wiping out pay raises, and reinforcing the Federal Reserve’s decision to begin raising borrowing rates across the economy. The Labor Department said Thursday that consumer prices jumped 7.5% last month compared...

Economists Expected Lousy Jobs Report, Got the Opposite

Employers added 467K jobs in January, way above estimates

(Newser) - Economists were expecting a lousy jobs report on Friday, but it came in much stronger than expected. Employers seem to have weathered the omicron surge in January better than anticipated. The numbers:
  • Jobs: Employers added 467,000 jobs in January, the Labor Department reported. Estimates varied widely ahead of the
...

Bounce Back for US Economy in 2021 Was a Major One

Nation's GDP saw strongest calendar-year growth since the Reagan years

(Newser) - The US economy grew last year at the fastest pace since Ronald Reagan's presidency, bouncing back with resilience from 2020's brief but devastating coronavirus recession. The nation's gross domestic product—its total output of goods and services—expanded 5.7% in 2021. It was the strongest calendar-year...

New Economic Worry: Not a Bubble, but a &#39;Superbubble&#39;
Gloomy Word 'Superbubble'
Is Now Being Tossed Around
the rundown

Gloomy Word 'Superbubble' Is Now Being Tossed Around

Investor Jeremy Grantham, noted for his pessimistic forecasts, issues a big one

(Newser) - If the forecast of big-name investor Jeremy Grantham is correct, the US economy—and perhaps your 401k—is in for a world of hurt. The 83-year-old founder of the Boston-based investment fund GMO (who is known for his gloomy forecasts) isn't just warning of a bubble, he's upgraded...

Inflation Reaches 'Frighteningly High' Level

CPI hits annual rate of 6.8% in November, highest in 39 years

(Newser) - Last month's inflation report showed it was the worst in three decades. This month's? The worst in four decades, reports the Wall Street Journal . The Labor Department said Friday that the Consumer Price Index—which this year may have surpassed the monthly jobs report in significance—hit an...

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