Democrats Hope for Reset in New Hampshire

Bernie Sanders pulls ahead in polls
By Rob Quinn,  Newser Staff
Posted Feb 11, 2020 7:34 AM CST
Sanders Leads in Polls as New Hampshire Votes
Amy Klobuchar laughs as she speaks at a campaign event, Monday, Feb. 10, 2020, in Exeter, N.H.   (AP Photo/Elise Amendola)

Joe Biden, Elizabeth Warren, and Pete Buttigieg have all topped the polls in New Hampshire at various points over the last few months—but Bernie Sanders has pulled away in the home stretch, according to CNN. A tracking poll conducted by the University of New Hampshire Survey Center from Feb. 6 to Feb. 9 puts the senator from neighboring Vermont at 29%, followed by Buttigieg at 22%, Biden at 11%, and Warren at 10%. Some 7% said they planned to vote for Amy Klobuchar, while no other candidate polled more than 5%. The poll found that only 50% had definitely decided who they were going to vote for—and 42% of that group chose Sanders. On the GOP side, 90% back Trump and 7% prefer former Massachusetts Gov. Bill Weld, according to the poll. More:

  • Between Sanders and Buttigieg. FiveThirtyEight gives Sanders a 66% chance of winning Tuesday's primary. The site, which gives Buttigieg a 30% chance, predicts that Sanders will get around 28% of the vote and will receive around 11 of the state's pledged delegates.

  • No repeat of Iowa. State officials promise that there will be no repeat of the chaos in Iowa, where the final result is still being disputed more than a week after the Democratic caucuses, the Union-Leader reports. New Hampshire Secretary of State Bill Gardner says the primary is different from a caucus in many ways, including the fact that it is being conducted by state officials, not a political party. Gardner stresses that the process will rely on tried-and-true paper and pencil, not an app like the one that contributed to the problems in Iowa. He predicts a record turnout for this year's primaries.
  • Surprises in early voting. The winner in Dixville Notch, which votes just after midnight, was Michael Bloomberg, who wasn't on the ballot. He had write-in votes from two Democrats and the town's only Republican. Klobuchar won in Hart’s Location and Millsfield, which also voted overnight, the Hill reports.
  • Klobuchar's moment? While Klobuchar is unlikely to repeat the Millsfield and Hart's Location success statewide, her popularity in the state has surged in recent days and it will shake up the race significantly if she finishes third, ahead of either Warren or Biden, Politico reports. "I don’t have the biggest bank account in this race, I didn’t have the biggest name ID going into this," she said a rally. "But what I have is grit."
  • Hopes for a reset. The AP reports that the Democratic Party hopes the New Hampshire primary will reset the race for the nomination and provide some clarity, noting that since the "chaotic Iowa caucuses failed to perform their traditional function of winnowing the race, it now falls to New Hampshire to begin culling the Democratic field."
  • What's at stake. This is the first time since 2004 that nobody has dropped out following the Iowa caucuses, notes the New York Times, which looks at what is at stake for each candidate, including former frontrunner Biden, who has already acknowledged that he is likely to take a hit in New Hampshire.
(More New Hampshire primary stories.)

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