If the legal fight against health care reform makes it to the Supreme Court, it's a safe bet justices won't overturn the law, writes Zachary Roth. He surveys legal experts on the left and right and finds consensus: It's "not out of the question" that foes could succeed but it's an extreme long shot.
Their strongest argument revolves around the Commerce Clause and the assertion that it's unconstitutional for the federal government to require people to buy insurance. But the justices would have to "radically break" with previous rulings on the clause to scrap reform. To do so would "be more aggressive than Bush v. Gore" says one law professor, and "they're probably not eager to do that again." Read the full analysis at Talking Points Memo here.
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