Analyst Changes Projection for Boebert's Reelection Race

Cook Political Report now sees run against Democrat Adam Frisch as a 'toss up'
By Bob Cronin,  Newser Staff
Posted Jul 17, 2023 5:30 PM CDT
Updated Jul 20, 2023 4:00 PM CDT
Boebert's Challenger Pulls In 3 Times as Much Cash
Adam Frisch, left, and US Rep. Lauren Boebert could face each other again in 2024.   (AP Photo, File)
UPDATE Jul 20, 2023 4:00 PM CDT

Citing Rep. Lauren Boebert's apparent decision to not moderate her far-right image, a nonpartisan analysis has downgraded her chances of winning reelection. The Cook Political Report has changed its rating of the Colorado race from "lean Republican" to "toss up," the Hill reports. Editor David Wasserman wrote that the 80,000 voters in the district who sat out the last race could decide the 2024 one, and they're more likely to be independents. He also pointed out the major fundraising advantage held by Boebert's likely Democratic opponent, Adam Frisch.

Jul 17, 2023 5:30 PM CDT

The Democrat who nearly unseated Colorado Rep. Lauren Boebert last year is outraising the Republican by 3-1 as he seeks a rematch. Adam Frisch collected $2.6 million in the April-June quarter, the Colorado Sun reports, while the incumbent raised $818,000. Their 2022 race was so close that the margin triggered a recount, which found Boebert won 546 more votes—making it the closest House election in the nation. Frisch, a former Aspen city council member, launched his 2024 campaign in February, per the Hill. Reports filed with the Federal Election Commission showed Frisch with a better first quarter of this year as well, pulling in $1.7 million to Boebert's roughly $764,000.

Frisch reported having almost $2.5 million in the bank at the end of June, a solid million more than his potential opponent. "Lauren Boebert is panicking" about the fundraising gap, Frisch's campaign gloated in an email. One-third of his donations were from out of state, compared with 26% of Boebert's. "Aspen Adam will learn he and his out-of-state Democrat cronies can't buy this seat, no matter how hard they try," a Boebert campaign email said. She outspent him last time, $7.4 million to $6.3 million. (More Lauren Boebert stories.)

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