It's Groundhog Day, and Punxsutawney Phil already has issued his winter forecast: an early spring. At the annual tradition in Pennsylvania's Gobbler's Knob, the groundhog emerged from his cage (which looks like a tree trunk) and saw no shadow, according to the emcee of the Groundhog Club. "There is no shadow to be cast!" he declared, per NPR. "An early spring is my forecast!" This is actually a rarity: Over the years, Phil has predicted an early spring only 18 times and more winter 102 times, notes the AP. Unfortunately, his track record isn't too strong, as this post at WCTV makes clear. (More groundhog day stories.)