Poll: Working-Class Ohioans Critical to Obama Victory

Plus: Most Americans think Obama will win
By Evann Gastaldo,  Newser Staff
Posted Oct 31, 2012 7:10 AM CDT
Poll: Working-Class Ohioans Critical to Obama Victory
President Barack Obama speaks to supporters at a campaign event at Cleveland Burke Lakefront Airport, Thursday, Oct. 25, 2012, in Cleveland Ohio.   (AP Photo/Pablo Martinez Monsivais)

President Obama and Mitt Romney are both planning a series of campaign events in Ohio as Election Day draws nearer, and a new Quinnipiac University/New York Times/CBS News poll finds that working-class voters in that state are likely key to Obama’s re-election. Obama and Romney are about even among white voters without college degrees in the state, a fact that is helping Obama to hold a slight overall edge there. That contrasts to Florida and Virginia, where Romney holds a 30-point edge among working-class voters, and the races are basically tied. More from the latest polls:

  • Most Americans think Obama will win the election—and they have a good track record when it comes to predicting the presidential winner, getting it right in Gallup surveys in each of the past four elections. Before Hurricane Sandy, Gallup found that 54% of Americans believed Obama would win, compared to 34% who gave the edge to Romney.
  • A Reuters/Ipsos poll finds similar results: While the race is still highly competitive—basically tied—53% of all registered voters predict Obama will win, compared to just 29% predicting Romney.
  • That poll also found that out of the 22% who have already voted, 55% voted for Obama and 40% voted for Romney.
Meanwhile, Vladimir Churov—who heads Russia’s Central Election Commission and is known there as “The Magician” for maybe knowing a little something about fraudulent elections—has slammed the US election system as “not direct, not universal, and not equal," Reuters reports. Ow. (More Election 2012 stories.)

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